Snowfall likely on Vancouver Island next week
Weather on Vancouver Island has been pretty varied this November, and it looks like we’ll bookend the month with some snow, even in Greater Victoria.
While we’ve just enjoyed a really nice week with some great temperatures and conditions interrupting the rain activity, that will all change for the last week of the month.
Get ready for an Arctic air push that will take us into at least the first five days of December. If you need to point fingers of blame then look to Greenland and Siberia.
Usually when we talk about a ridge of high pressure it’s positive, and we like what we see, but this time around those ridges do us no favours.
A strong ridge set up around Greenland will become a blocker and will create a little bit of a traffic jam of cold Arctic air. To the west, we’ll pull in a lot of cold air from a Siberian polar vortex thanks to a ridge setting up over Alaska.
That cold air will blanket most of the country, and for Vancouver Island and B.C. a drop to well-below seasonal temperatures will take over.
A long range forecast looking into the week of Nov. 28 to Dec. 2, 2022, is shown. (CTV News)
Of course, it’s still autumn and that means moisture. We’ve had some nice rain this month but with this introduction of cold Arctic air our chances of snow rises big time.
We’re still going to get moisture moving into the province from the Pacific, but as it runs into the cold Arctic air we’ll go from rain to snow.
Even at sea level we’re looking to get into snowball manufacturing. Obviously higher elevations and locations up island will see more snowfall, but expect it to be spread throughout all island areas at some point.
A long range forecast looking into the week of Nov. 28 to Dec. 2, 2022, is shown. (CTV News)
I’m circling Tuesday and Wednesday of next week to be the snowier days. While areas around the water will see more of a rain/snow mix, any precipitation falling during the night and early morning will be on the snow side of things.
It’s hard to nail down numbers at this point but as you can see on the accumulation map at the top of the article, we’ll see some noteworthy numbers, ranging from as low as one centimetre in the Comox area to up to eight centimetres in the Victoria region.
It should be noted that this particular model has a habit of overestimating snowfall totals, but I’d put Greater Victoria in the three to five centimetre range over the two-day period. High elevations could easily see double digits.
All the ingredients are there and the potential is high, but at the same time our 'snow soufflé' may collapse when we take it out of the oven and we get more rain than snow.
It’ll be a day by day and hour by hour scenario to watch. Plan for the worst and hope for the best.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
CRA no longer requiring 'bare trust' reporting in 2023 tax return
The Canada Revenue Agency announced Thursday it will not require 'bare trust' reporting from Canadians that it introduced for the 2024 tax season, just four days before the April 2 deadline.
He didn't trust police but sought their help anyway. Two days later, he was dead
Jameek Lowery was among more than 330 Black people who died after police stopped them with tactics that aren’t supposed to be deadly, like physical restraint and use of stun guns, The Associated Press found.
Fluid in eye cells can 'boil' if you watch the eclipse without protection: expert
Millions of people in parts of Eastern and Atlantic Canada will be able to see the rare solar eclipse happening on April 8. But they should only look up if they have proper eye protection, experts say.
NEW More unauthorized products for skin, sexual enhancement, recalled: Here are the recalls of this week
Health Canada and the Canadian Food Inspection Agency recalled various items this week, including torches, beef biltong and unauthorized products related to skin care and sexual enhancement.
Where is the worst place for allergy sufferers in Canada?
The spring allergy season has started early in many parts of Canada, with high levels of pollen in some cities already. Experts weigh in on which areas have it worse so far this season.
Do these exercises for core strength if you can't stomach doing planks
Planks are one of the most effective exercises for strengthening your midsection, as they target all of your major core muscles: the transverse abdominis, rectus abdominis, external obliques and internal obliques. Yet despite the popularity of various 10-minute plank challenges, planking is actually one of the most dreaded core exercises, according to many fitness experts.
Grandparent scam: London, Ont., senior beats fraudsters not once, but twice
It was a typical Tuesday for Mabel Beharrell, 84, until she got the call that would turn her world upside down. Her teenaged grandson was in trouble and needed her help.
Angst and calls for resting places as Surrey, B.C., pet cemetery development continues
A single headstone is all that remains of dozens of markers for long-buried pets in a subdivision in Surrey’s Newton neighbourhood, where a half-acre parcel bears a large sign announcing the proposed construction of new homes.
Polar ice is melting and changing Earth's rotation. It's messing with time itself
One day in the next couple of years, everyone in the world will lose a second of their time. Exactly when that will happen is being influenced by humans, according to a new study, as melting polar ice alters the Earth’s rotation and changes time itself.